And the gold medal goes to… ‘The Nation State’ – for exposing the real reason for COVID transmissions

Well well well, not just me there were others who speculated that something was up in our hospitals, back in December I posted this;

And now I present the Daily Telegraph, who to their credit (although a little slow) put this headline out.

As you see it states “almost 2/3 of people who died or became severely ill from Covid in December may have caught the disease in hospital a major study has found.”

All I did was look at the numbers, rest of telegraph article is below…

Almost two thirds of people who died or became severely ill from Covid in December may have caught the disease in hospital, a major study has found.

Researchers from Public Health Scotland’s Covid-19 Health Protection Study Group, looked at all Scottish coronavirus cases reported outside of care homes between March 2020 and January 28, 2021.

Over the entire study period, 30 per cent of coronavirus cases in which patients died, or spent time in critical care, were linked to a recent hospital visit, the study showed.

In the first wave it peaked at 46 per cent in May, however by December, it had risen to 64 per cent of cases as seen in the chart below. (Data from June 1 to Sep 30 are omitted because the numbers are small).

Professor Helen Colhoun, the lead author of the study, said it was crucial for government scientists to factor hospital acquired infections into modelling if they wanted to get a true picture of the pandemic.

“There’s this relentless focus on schools but if the models for the future ignore an important setting for transmission, that seems exceedingly odd to me,” she said.

“There’s been very little detailed discussion of hospital transmission by Sage (Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies). And this route of transmission doesn’t even seem to be put in as a component of those models. Which I think is a testament to a lack of recognition of how important it is.

“Unless we have a really full appreciation of how much infection has occurred within hospital settings we will not be prepared for next winter or prepared properly for the future.

“Although hospital transmission may account for a fairly small number of overall cases, it accounts for a substantial number of cases in the vulnerable that lead to serious consequences. That’s what needs to be fully appreciated at a policy level.”

A recent report from Public Health England (PHE) and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) suggested that up to four in 10 patients with Covid in the first wave may have caught the virus in hospital, leading to a ‘substantial’ impact on deaths.

Under the least conservative estimates – which included those testing positive within three days of entering hospital or 14 days after discharge – a total of 36,152 people may have been infected in hospital.

In October, the Healthcare Safety Investigation Branch launched an inquiry into transmission in hospitals, and made eight safety recommendations which included improving patient testing, ventilation, and isolation.

However the new research shows that cases of hospital acquired infections reached worrying new highs in Scotland months after the report was published.

The latest Scottish research warned that the layout, design and ventilation levels of some hospitals not only make effective disease control “very difficult to achieve”, but they have also served to reduce the effectiveness of shielding.

Recent exposure to hospitals was linked to 36 per cent of severe cases among people with underlying conditions who had been instructed to shield.

Speaking in a personal capacity, Prof Colhoun said: “We found that the constraints on the shielding programme being effective were the need for shielders to attend hospital and be exposed to hospitals, plus the number of adults in a household.

“Health care workers infection prevention control teams and the other national bodies focussed on nosocomial infection have worked extremely hard through the epidemic to reduce nosocomial transmission and that the reasons such transmissions occur are complex.”

Commenting on the findings of the study, Prof Paul Hunter, of the University of East Anglia, said: “Going into hospital has carried with it a significant risk of catching Covid. Being an in-patient was the main risk factor for severe cases, rather than just attending as an outpatient.

“It would appear that even during the second wave we were still not adequately protecting non-Covid infection patients from getting hospital-acquired Covid.

“The other thing this study shows is that if you were on the shielding list, just being told to shield if you live within a family wasn’t a great deal of help.”